Climate Week: Raise Your Hopes; Lower Your Expectations

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โ€œDonโ€™t make the best the enemy of the good.โ€ – Former British Prime Minister Tonyย Blair

Climate Week has launched in New York City with contradictory calls to be optimistic about UN climate negotiations culminating in Copenhagen in December, but to keep our expectations low about the strength of any ultimateย deal.

The actual โ€œfestivitiesโ€ are all married to what UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon called โ€œthe largest climate change summit in history.โ€ One hundred world leaders are scheduled to gather at the United Nations tomorrow, not likely to further any negotiating positions, but to add their weight to the appearance of a global consensus that climate action – overdue – is on theย way.

In honor of this meeting, there are 1,000 Climate Week events booked around the world, 70 in New York City alone. It;s hard to get past a mid-town street corner without bumping into someone mid-pitch on some kind of climate change related issue.

The official kick-off even occurred at noon at the New York City Library – a sea-level repository of 50 million documents that Library President Paul LeClerc pointed out is vulnerable to climate change-related sea-level rise. Organizers began with some razzle-dazzle – an appearance by Hugh Jackman (inset) that Ban Ki-Moon said later was helpful because of the โ€œmobilizing power of celebrities.โ€ Jackman was also one of the few presenters (on a long list) who actually spoke to the toll of human misery that is possible and, in places like Ethiopia, alreadyย occurring.

But former British Prime Minister Tony Blair set the tone – for good and ill. Praising Jackman for calling to mind the โ€œmoral imperative behind action,โ€ Blair began on an up note, saying, โ€œIn my view, the will is there (among international negotiators and world leaders). The questions is, can we find the way to match theย will?โ€

He began well, setting out likely conditions (short and medium term goals, deals on tech transfer and financial aid to developing countries, the need to mobilize private as well as public sector collaborators). But he seemed to be making a pointed effort to cool off the enthusiasm when he asked the large crowd not to get too excited – not to let โ€œthe best be the enemy of theย good.โ€

One speaker after another picked up the theme. United Nations Foundation president and Senator Tim Wirth said that negotiations were โ€œnot about settling on a fixed percentage.โ€ Danish Climate Change Minister Connie Hedegaard said โ€œwe really need a deadline. The world has been waiting and talking long enough.โ€ But she later added, โ€œwe cannot let the perfect be the enemy of the good,โ€ a sentiment and a phrasing that was echoed by Indiaโ€™s Minister of State for the Environment Jairamย Ramesh.

Only TckTck Tk campaign chair Kumi Naidoo tried to warm the temperature on this bucket of cold water. He said, โ€œtoo many of our leaders seem to be sleepwalking into a crisis.โ€ He said (not very convincingly) that he accepted that the perfect should not be held as enemy to the good, but then he demanded an agreement that was โ€œFABโ€ – โ€œfair, ambitious and binding.โ€ It is, he said, the kind of deal that โ€œthe people on this planetย deserve.โ€

The upshot of all this is both inspiring and disappointing. Itโ€™s fabulous to see this many people rising up, in New York and around the world, to join the conversation. Itโ€™s fabulous that the denier community is limited to the Heartland Institute, the Frontier Centre for Public Policy, the Fraser Institute and half a dozen cranky commenters on this site. But when someone like Tony Blair starts talking about โ€œclean coalโ€ as part of a climate change solution, you begin to wonder whoโ€™s koolaid heโ€™s beenย drinking.

To give Blair the last word, though, he made the point, late in his short presentation, that โ€œa global accord will bring down the cost of action.โ€ He has a point, even if he seemed to assume that the first accord will be a lame starter plan that will need a great deal moreย work.

Still, he ended by saying that we have a responsibility to leave to our children โ€œa world that we hope is better, but at least is notย worse.โ€

Thatโ€™s not the path weโ€™re on now. Letโ€™s hope this is the beginning of theย change.

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