This is a guest post by ClimateDenierRoundupย originally published at Daily Kos.
ย
Aย new op-ed in the Wall Street Journalย by Bjorn Lomborg misses the mark, and while itโs not as bad as some of Lomborgโs misleading opinions, there can be no doubt that the deception is intentional.
Lomborg attacks the recently releasedย Climate and Health Assessment, a comprehensive overview of how climate change impacts the American public by the US Global Change Research Program. He attacks the reportโs finding that heat-related deaths from rising temperatures will outnumber the avoided cold-related deaths, which has been debated among legitimate scientists (seeย this pieceย orย this piece).
In the last sentence of the introductory paragraph, Lomborg claims the report, โhypes the bad and skips over the good.โ He writes, โIt also ignores inconvenient evidenceโlike the fact that cold kills many more people than heat.โ Later, he reiterates his thesis statement, with the sentence, โNot once does this โscientific assessmentโ acknowledge that cold deaths significantly outweigh heat deaths.โ
Which is weird, becauseย page 47 of the chapterย on temperature and healthย states:
A recent analysis of U.S. deaths from temperature extremes based on death records found an average of approximately 1,300 deaths per year from 2006 to 2010 coded as resulting from extreme cold exposures, and 670 deaths per year coded as resulting from exposure to extremeย heat.
But letโs give Lomborg the benefit of the doubtโmaybe he just skimmed over that particular passage. Reading further, however, it becomes clear that he is deliberately being deceptive about the reportโs representation of the cold deaths. In the op-ed, he quotes a sentence from the report which states, โthe reduction in premature deaths from cold are expected to be smaller than the increase in deaths from heat in the United States.โ
This sentence is on page 51 of the temperature chapter. Unless Lomborg stopped reading right there, he knew he wasnโt being truthful when he claimed the report โignores inconvenient evidence,โ because directly after the sentence Lomborg quotes, the report continues,ย saying:
While this is true nationally (with the exception of Barreca 2012) it may not hold for all regions within the country. Similarly, international studies have generally projected a net increase in deaths from a warming climate, though in some regions, decreases in cold mortality may outweigh increases in heatย mortality.
If that werenโt damning enough, there is more talk of cold in another section Lomborg most certainly read, because he references it. The reportย says:
In contrast to some previous similar studies, some individual cities show a net reduction in future deaths due to future warming, mainly in locations where the population is already well-adapted to heat but poorly prepared for cold (like Florida). Barreca 2012 also shows net mortality benefits in some counties, though with a different spatial pattern due to humidityย effects.
So when it comes to Lomborgโs accusation that the report โignores inconvenient evidence,โ there can be no doubt that Lomborg is the guilty partyย here.
Subscribe to our newsletter
Stay up to date with DeSmog news and alerts