โWe knew it was going to cause a stir,โ saidย Australian marine scientist Dr. Robertย McCauley.
McCauley was referring to the results of an experiment testing the impacts of a common oil and gas industry techniqueย in waters off southern Australia, which were reported in a scientific paper in Juneย 2017.
The worldโs powerful offshore oil and gas industry hasย used seismic surveys for decades as the primary way to locate fossil fuels under the oceanย floor.
Impacts of Seismicย Surveysย
Seismic surveys involve an underwater air gun pulled behind a boat and fired at intervals, and as the shock waves bounceย off the sea floor and returnย to sensors, they help reveal where oil and gas mightย be.ย
McCauley, an associate professor at Curtin University in Western Australia, and his colleagues wanted to know what these seismic surveys did to zooplankton โ an organism at the base of the marine foodย web.
According to their results, published in the Nature journal Ecology and Evolution, there was a two to three-fold increase in the number of dead zooplankton at a distance of at least 1.2 kilomentersย (about three-quarters of aย mile) from the air gun after the blasts. That isย much farther than previous reports of impacts out to only 10 metersย or so (roughly 33ย feet).
But as reported in Guardian Australia, two major U.S. oil and gas industry groups have been writing to regulators describing McCauleyโs findings as โseriously flawedโ while commissioning other unnamed experts who have also criticized theย study.
McCauley, who has been researching the impacts of seismic surveys on marine life since the early 1990s, told Guardian Australia the criticisms of his research were aย โwhitewash.โ
He told me: โYou have to expect that some people will do their best to discredit [the study] so they can carry on as before. They will throw as much mud and confusion around to stall theย process.โ
Jayson Semmens,ย Associate Professorย with the Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies at the University of Tasmania and a co-author of the zooplankton study, defended the findings. He said while there was โno perfect experiment,โ he was confident in theย results.
Using sonar images, the study looked at the abundance of zooplankton after the air gun blasts and analyzedย the organisms caught in nets, which revealed the increase in deadย zooplankton.
An industry standard airgun being fired in Storm Bay, south of Hobart, Tasmania. McCauley and Semmens’ย research examined the impact on the tiny marine life below. Credit: Robย McCauley
Semmens says there are many studies on the impacts of seismic surveys on fish and marine mammals, but there was almost no knowledge of how the exploration technique affectedย invertebrates.
Semmens and McCauley have begun to try and fill this knowledge gap, co-authoring research with colleagues finding the seismic surveys negatively impactedย the immune systems of lobstersย and wereย linked to deaths in scallops.
Scientific Results Raisingย Tensions
The research is already raising tensions among the oil and gas industry, regulators, and the fishingย industry.
In North Carolina, state authorities have cited the studies, and others, in letters to companies looking to continue seismic surveys off theย coast.
Braxton Davis, director of the N.C. Divisions of Coastal Management and Marine Fisheries, said in December 2017:ย โBased on the new studies, we believe the proposed seismic testing could severely impact North Carolinaโs commercial and recreational fisheries, and we are requesting more information for review by state officials and theย public.โ
Commercial fishers in Australiaโs state of Victoria and Tasmania are also concerned that planned seismic surveys could impact their lobster, abalone, scallop, and crabย industries.
In a response to the concerns in North Carolina, the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the International Association of Geophysical Contractors (IAGC) wrote to the U.S. National Marine Fisheries Service and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, saying the zooplankton results were โof questionable scientificย merit.โ
The letter, signed by IAGC president and API policy advisor Andy Radford,ย claimed that McCauley and Semmens had โconcurred with many of the shortcomingsโ which the industry groups’ unnamed reviewers had identified with the zooplanktonย study.
But McCauley and Semmens have strongly rejected this version of events, saying they had only agreed their work needed replicating by other researchers โ a point made in the original researchย paper.
Gail Adams-Jackson, a spokesperson for IAGC, said they โstand by ourย statement.โ
She said: โThe IAGC sought seven independent reviews, and several of them indicated that while the research findings were thought-provoking, they were certainly not convincing. The consensus was that more research is needed in thisย area.โ
She would not name the reviewers commissioned by IAGC and API, citing confidentiality, and said they had not been paid โfor their initialย reviews.โ
She added: โWhile we found the study interesting and worthy of additional research, we remain troubled by its small sample sizes, the large day-to-day variability in both the baseline and experimental data, and the large number of speculative conclusions that appear to be inconsistent with the data collected over a two-dayย period.โ
โAs a result, both statistically and methodologically, we stand by our initial assertion that this project falls short of what would be needed to provide a convincing case for adverse effects from geophysical surveyย operations.โ
Main image: Oil rig in California’s Santa Barbara Channel. Credit:ย dirtsailor2003,ย CC BY–NDย 2.0
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