Renewables Offset 35 Times More CO2 Every Year Than All Carbon Capture Projects Ever, New Analysis Finds

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A new analysis by Clean Technica found that global investmentย in carbon capture and storage technology (CCS) adds upย to roughly $7.5 billion total.ย Itย also examinedย how much,ย for that investment,ย CCSย hasย reducedย atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels compared to an equivalent investment in renewable powerย generation.

The analysis calculated that โ€œwind and solar are displacing roughly 35 times as much CO2 every year as the complete global history of CCS.โ€ Clean Technica’s Mike Barnard concluded, โ€œCCS is a rounding error in global warmingย mitigation.โ€

Carbon capture, which includes a range of nascent technologies to remove CO2 directly from the air,ย is a favorite climate change mitigation strategy ofย the fossil fuel industry. Theoretically, CCS would allow power plants and vehicles to continue burning fossil fuels while reducing the resulting carbon emissions from that combustion. This is the concept behind the failed idea of so-called โ€œclean coal.โ€

A former Obama Energy Department official told the Washington Post, โ€œCarbon capture and storage makes coal more expensive, not less.โ€ With coal already unable to compete with renewables on cost, adding CCSย is aย deal-breaker.

That same Washington Post article points outย that oil companies are among those investing in carbon capture butย โ€œ[t]hey are lured not so much by the virtues of fighting climate change but by the prospects of makingย money.โ€

Clean Technica’s Barnard notes that leading carbon capture organization, the Global CCS Institute, claims to be an โ€œinternational climate change organization.โ€ However, its list of members contain many organizations, like ExxonMobil, with a long history of active climate change denial, which led to Barnard describing the organization asย โ€œmore like a PR arm of the fossil fuelย industry.โ€

Aย recent study by the Center for International Environmental Law warns that promoting carbon capture technology could hinder the adoption of renewable power, which would be a boon to its main competitor,ย the fossil fuelย industry.

Carbon Captureโ€™s Dirtyย Secret

The concept of removing carbon from the atmosphere to slowย climate change certainly has merit, as many experts have pointed out, and if it wereย technologically and economically feasible, incorporating this approach would make sense inย any plan to limit the damages of climate change. However, โ€œnegative emissions technologies,โ€ย as they are also called, currently are neither technologically nor economically feasible to deploy on a scale with any meaningfulย impact.

Another reason the fossil fuel industry is a fan of CCS revealsย how little impact the approach can have based on how the carbon is sequestered after itsย capture.

In one variation of a process known as enhanced oil recovery, the oil and gas industry pumpsย carbon dioxide into older oil fields to increase the amount of oil that can be recovered from existing wells.ย The practice, which can also include pumping steam, water, chemicals, or bacteria into wells,ย isย common in the U.S., constitutingย 60 percent of oil and gas production as ofย 2017.

That means carbon dioxide removed from the atmosphere is being pumped below ground into oil fields, helpingย produce oil that is then burned andย addingย an estimated equivalent of 90 percentย of that carbon back into the atmosphere, according to Clean Technica. In addition, aย 2017 report from the environmental group Clean Water Action noted: โ€œGiven the enormous variability in subsurface conditions, the extent theย CO2ย actually stays in the desired formation without any migrationย isย unclear.โ€

Is Carbon Captureย Necessary?

Visual representation of one metric ton of carbon dioxide gas with humans and city for scale
One metric ton of carbon dioxide gas (annotated). Credit: Carbon Visuals,ย CC BYย 2.0

Removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere will help slow climate change and its impacts. And climate models, including those from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),ย include CCS as part of their scenarios for keeping global warming below 1.5ยฐC (2.7ยฐF). While the current state of the technology is not capable of achieving the levels of carbon capture required by those models, proven solutions to the world’s climate goals doย exist.

A new analysis from researchers at Swiss University ETH Zurich concludes that planting 1.2 trillion new trees around the globe could โ€œcaptureโ€ a decade’s worth of carbonย emissions.

Of course, while trees would effectively capture atmospheric CO2, the worldโ€™s forests currently are being harvested for paper, cut down for agriculture, and burned forย energy.

In another recent study, an international team of researchers published an analysisย this month in the peer-reviewed scientific journal Nature Energy, which concluded thatย limiting warming to 1.5ยฐC degrees above pre-industrial temperatures is possible without using carbon capture technology.ย They write thatย โ€œrenewables plus storage provide a more energetically effective approach to climate mitigation than constructing CCS fossil-fuel powerย stations.โ€

As renewables and energy storage continue to fall in price and become the cheapest form of power generation in America and around the world, the evidence suggests that rapidly transitioning from fossil fuels to renewables is the most effectiveย approach to addressing climate change in addition to being a solid businessย decision.

The fossil fuel industry is aware of this threat to its business model, which means the world should expectย to continueย seeingย the industry back groups like the Global CSS Initiative and push โ€œclean coalโ€ and CCS as climate changeย solutions.ย 

According to the Washington Post, energy and public policy professor Dan Kammen of the University of California at Berkeleyย believes carbon capture is a distraction from cheaper and already proven ways to reduce carbon dioxide rightย now.

โ€œI recommend the boring Charlie Brown strategy,โ€ Kammen told the Washington Post. โ€œWhen is the best day to plant a tree? Yesterday. Second best?ย Today.โ€

Planting trees and rapidly deploying renewable energyย are proven and cost-effective approaches to combating climate change and can be implemented on a global scale today. On the other hand,ย carbon capture technologiesย are potentially decades away from having a significant impact on carbonย emissions.ย 

Main image: Windย energy development in the California desert. Credit:ย Courtesy of Tom Brewster Photography via Bureau of Land Management,ย CC BY 2.0

4/29/19 This article was updated to correct the numbers cited fromย researchers at Swiss University ETH Zurich from million toย trillion.ย 

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Justin Mikulka is a research fellow at New Consensus. Prior to joining New Consensus in October 2021, Justin reported for DeSmog, where he began in 2014. Justin has a degree in Civil and Environmental Engineering from Cornell University.

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