The Consensus Trap

authordefault
on

One of the quickest ways to trigger a backlash of cynicism and suspicion in the climate change conversation is to insist that there is a โ€œconsensusโ€ among scientists about human responsibility for globalย warming.

To begin, many people misunderstand the word โ€œconsensus.โ€ Although the Oxford English Dictionary defines it as โ€œa general agreement,โ€ people tend to think that it means a unanimous agreement and, therefore, that if a single scientist stands up anywhere in the world and argues the point that the consensus isย invalidated.

So, let’s be clear: there is NOT unanimous agreement on the causes and implications of climate change. While the Royal Society, the U.S. National Academies of Science, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – really, every major science organization in the developed world – all agree that anthropogenic climate change is a real and pressing problem, there are a couple of respected scientists (Dick Lindzen , Bill Gray ) who question โ€œthe consensus.โ€ There is also a larger group of climate change deniers who are either not experts in the field, whose views are fatally tainted by their association with the fossil fuel industry or both (eg., Tim Ball).

Henceforth, we at the DeSmogBlog plan to be more careful about how we present the โ€œgeneral agreement.โ€ And we would appreciate it if our increasingly fiesty correspondents would also exercise some responsibility in their blanket denials of aย โ€œconsensus.โ€

I hope we can forge unanimous agreement that this conversation is too important to get hopelessly mired inย semantics.

Related Posts

on

The broadcaster has been accused of becoming โ€œReform TVโ€.

The broadcaster has been accused of becoming โ€œReform TVโ€.
on

The New York Times has included dozens of ads pushing looser permitting rules on Americaโ€™s third-most popular podcast since September, analysis finds.

The New York Times has included dozens of ads pushing looser permitting rules on Americaโ€™s third-most popular podcast since September, analysis finds.
on

The stateโ€™s reforms aimed to fix well cleanup, but a DeSmog and Guardian investigation found it will take decades to clear the backlog.

The stateโ€™s reforms aimed to fix well cleanup, but a DeSmog and Guardian investigation found it will take decades to clear the backlog.
on

Welsh Reform labelled a โ€œretirement home for failed Conservativesโ€.

Welsh Reform labelled a โ€œretirement home for failed Conservativesโ€.