Pseudoskeptics Exposed In The SalbyStorm

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Pseudoskeptics Are Not Skeptics was inspired by last year’s SalbyStorm,ย  which highlighted the stark divide between scientific skeptics and most (pseudoskeptic) climate dismissives, who reject the mainstreamย consensus.

Murry Salby’s unsupported, internally-inconsistent story of dismissal by Macquarie University was broadcast via blogs, to excited discussion.ย  Contrary evidence mounted over the next few days, including here.ย  Reactions differed strongly.
Update 03/09/16: Judge rejected every Salby claim against Macquarie, which is owed apologies byย many.

Scientific skeptics
About 30 commenters accepted mainstream climate science and rejected Salby’s wrong ideas from his lectures and 2012 book (see review). Given a one-sided employment dispute story, real skeptics were cautious or knowledgable enough to be more dubious.ย  In the hostile territory of these blogs, they were often insulted, sometimes for merely expressing caution.ย 

Real skeptics knew the science, weighed evidence, and avoided leaping to premature conclusions on Salby’s story.ย  Some searched and found relevant history that cast doubt on Salby’s credibility, but were ignored or insulted for providing unwantedย facts.

Climate dismissives, pseudoskeptic behavior
By contrast, of the 400+ dismissive commenters (who reject mainstream consensus), about 40% explicitly supported Salby’s erroneous CO2 ideas, seemingly desperate to believe the current rise in CO2 was natural.ย  That idea was rejected by a mere handful, of whom one apologized and said he expected to be downvoted for doing so, and indeed he was.
Dismissives reacted to Salby’s Macquarie story in varyingย ways:

~5% were consistently cautious or dubious from the start, commendably able to think skeptically on Salby’s story, if not on climate science or his CO2ย ideas.

~5% accepted Salby’s story at first, but were able to change their minds, at least to being cautious about Salby’sย story.

~10% said nothing about Salby’sย story.

However, most dismissives displayed strong pseudoskepticย behavior:

~80% rapidly accepted Salby’s story without question and persisted. They either ignored contrary evidence, insulted its bringers, invented ill-informed counter-arguments or just stopped commenting when strong evidence appeared.ย ย  Graham Readfearn’s story revealed Salby’s mis-use of an old associate who had trusted him. Despite strong participation by Australians and 3 relevant pieces in The Australian, that story was ignored.ย  Even later, hundreds of comments were written in support of Salby’s CO2 ideas, ignoring science-based counter-arguments and strong evidence of Salby’s past deception.ย  As a whole, the blog network rapidly propagated ideas it liked, but not contraryย data.

Salby’s story confirmed their beliefs and 45% of this group amplified it into conspiracy ideas. For instance, although Salby was hired in 2008 and his odd ideas only appeared in 2011, at least 20 commenters seemed to think he had been โ€œluredโ€ to Australia to purposefullly harass him and sabotage his research, perhaps orchestrated by US or UK scientists.ย  Even ignoring the time machine required, this seems an unusual hiringย practice.ย 

Macquarie University was pervasively vilified and sometimes sent insulting messages, for which no apologies were everย expressed.

A detailed analysis of nearly 2000 comments is nearly done, but interesting phrases are sampled below, the most popular emboldened. Commenters must be thanked for offering so much public data for a well-constrained, if inadvertent, experiment.ย  Aย  2-page, 4-column version shows phrases with rough occurence counts and may be easier to read, at front of the 380-page PDF of collected posts and comments (the โ€œcorpusโ€)ย  Readers can search for phrases and authors in context.ย  Quality of discourse should be clear, given background of Salby’s deceptions versus Macquarie’s appropriateย actions.

Dismissive pseudoskepticย phrases

Salby & science
Einstein of climate science hero or fine science hero;ย  ย landmark work;ย  ย maverickย  like Nobel winner one of the world’s most brilliant climate scientists;ย  ย outstanding scientist;ย  profoundly original thinker;ย ย ย 

Salby as martyr
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn;ย  ย angel who should be unsacked;ย  ย apostate;
Atlas Shruggedย ย  John Galt?blackball ย often with Carter disenfranchised;ย  ย dissident;ย  ย excommunicat {-ed, ion}exileGalileo Giordano Bruno;ย  ย heresy;ย  ย inquisition;ย  ย knifeย  or knive;ย  ย pilloried;
purgeย  (Flannery behind);ย  ย Rosa Parks;ย  ย Siberia;ย  ย threatens the religion;
Timothy Leary;ย  ย Vilif{-y, -ied, -ication}

Macquarie University
academatchiks;ย  ย another case of someone daring to speak the truth;ย 
another Climategate, or bigger;ย ย  appalling behaviour;ย ย  bad faith;ย ย  barbaric;ย ย  bastard;ย ย  being silenced BECAUSE he is right;ย ย  cheap politicking of these intellectual dwarves;ย  ย climate hysteria indoctrination;ย  ย Communist;
constructive dismissal;ย  ย corruptย  {-ion}crimecriminal ย ย ย mostly MQ
Dark Age superstitions;ย  ย Dean of junk science;ย  ย deliberate, targeted, vicious attacks on the academic freedom;ย  ย despicable (act)
dictator{-ial , -ship}
formally contact MQ and invite them to defend themselves here at WUWT goons;ย  ย hatchet;ย  ย he didnโ€™t toe the party line so they sacked him;ย  ย hit man or menHitler;ย  ย insanity;ย  ย Jim Jones cult;ย  ย kangaroo – {court, justice};
lawless duplicity;ย  ย lied, stolen equipment, sabotaged;ย  ย Lacky University;
Luddites;ย  ย Macabre University
{-i, -li};ย  ย Mao;ย  ย Mockery
pronounciationNaziย  ย ย ย including envionazi{-ous}would be proudlike roaches from any ray of sunlightย (treatment, etc);ย  ย shoddy;
smear {campaign, job, etc};ย  ย sociopath (-ic);ย  ย Stalin {-ist}
envirostalinistsUWA
, UEA,Penn State unconscionable
act

Academe, generally
Australian unis are just degree factories;ย  ย centers of conspiracyย  departmentsALL universities in the Western world all Marxist, all totalitarian regimes where no dissent is allowed.;ย  ย UEA or U of East Anglia utopian Gaia loving professors;ย  ย very dim view of universities and the people who work for them;ย  ย Whitewashย  ย ย ย Mann or Jones

Bad people, some โ€œdog-whistlesโ€ most with no plausible connection
Cook, JohnFlannery, Tim;ย  ย Gleick, Peter;ย  ย Gore, Al;ย  ย Hansen, James;
Jones, Phil;ย  ย Karoly, David;ย  ย Mann, MichaelObama or Barack Lewandowsk {-y,-i}, Stephan;ย  ย Lewpaper or Lew paper;
Team, The;ย ย  Trenberth,ย Kevin

Mainstream climate science
AGW bandwagon;ย  ย AGW crackpottery;ย  ย AGW, edifice of;ย  ย AGW doctrine, lunacy, meme, movement, nutcases;ย  ย alarm{-ist, -ism};ย  ย appalling climatology, from CRU, UEA, NASA, or other enlightened dump;ย  ย CAGW gravy train;ย  ย CAGW or C/AGWcalamatologists despise scepticscatastrophicCAGWClimategateCO church;ย  ย consensus science;ย  ย crackpot {-tery, AGWcult of climatology;ย  ย cult science of climatology climate church;ย  ย Dellingpole has the answer call them out for the scum they are;ย  ย diabolically clever ย to muzzledissentย  ย ย ย not allowed dogma {-tic}dogmatic cult;ย  ย dud science;ย  ย dumbasses;ย  ย fraud;
fraudulence of the claims to science made by the โ€˜consensus scientists.โ€™;
gatekeep or gate-keep;ย  ย God help us from these fools who claim to be climate scientists;ย  ย goose step impersonators masquerading as โ€˜scientistsโ€™.;
groupthink or group think
hoax;ย  ย hockey stick;ย  ย hypocrisy of the AGW proponents knows no boundsโ€ฆ. nor their capacity to blind themselves to facts.;ย  ย ideolog {-y, -ically, etc};ย  ย intellectually impoverished adherents of post modernism โ€˜scienceโ€™,;ย  ย IPCCLysenkoorthodoxy~climate science policy apparachiks;ย  ย post modern;ย  ย Propaganda;ย  ย pseudoย  science;
religionreligious {-ly-based}CAGW
gospel;ย  ย scam;ย  ย โ€œscienceโ€ now means โ€œpropagandaโ€ โ€œidolatryโ€,โ€œblindnessโ€, โ€œmendacityโ€ and โ€œvenalityโ€;
scum;ย  ย vindictive people;ย  ย pitchforks and torches and tar โ€ฆ.;
What swine the agw crewย are

Other people
Agenda 21;ย  ย anti-human garroting of science.;ย  ย assassinationย  {character, etc(~ The Team?) Conspirac {-y,- iesCSIRObelieversEPA high priests and political masters of AGWThe GodfatherMarx
{-ist, -ism} Nothing is more illebral than โ€œliberalโ€.ย  (sic)(in courts)smear
ย  {campaign, sites};
Sovietthug {-s, -ery};
totalitarian;ย  ย warmers;ย  ย warmist or warmista;ย  ย warmista attack dogs;
warm-monger;ย  ย watermelon (green outside, redย in)

Miscellaneous comments
Feynman is much missed;ย  ย Go away and preach to the already converted. We use our brains here. We think for ourselves.;ย  ย I decline to dignify the children at desmogblog.;ย  ย I know we are mocked for conspiracy theories;ย  ย Iโ€™m sorry, I didnโ€™t realize we were indulging in conspiracy ideation;ย  ย no COAGW in a water world;ย  ย Sceptic {-al, -ism};ย  ย Scientia weeps;ย  ย The enormous difference between skeptics and the other camp is the skeptics want to get to the bottom of the issuesโ€ฆ;ย  ย they have noticed we beat them on the science everyย time.

Image Credit: pjhpix / Shutterstock.com

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