Climate Studyย Group
Background
The Climate Study Group is an unincorporated group of seven Australian conservative men that was formed in 2009 under the nameย โFair Farming Group.โ1Homepage, The Fair Farming Group. Archived December 22, 2014. Archive.is URL:ย https://archive.fo/Zk6EX
The Climate Study group is known for taking out a series of advertisements in The Australian newspaper, but has also issuedย reports and submissions to the Australian government rejecting the science of human-caused climate change.2โPsychology and the New Cilmate Alarmโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group. Archived atย Desmog.
The group has also been critical of policy proposals linked to lowering greenhouse gasย emissions.
Investigations by DeSmog have found the groupโs members have links to mining, finance, agriculture and free market โthink tankโ the Institute of Public Affairs (IPA).3Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
None of the members of the Climate Study Group appear to have any qualifications in climate science or any record of publishing peer-reviewed research on climate change.4Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
Stance on Climateย Change
Septemberย 2016
According to an ad The Climate Study Group took out in The Australianย under the title โWhat You Donโt Know About Climateโ:5โWhat You don’t Know About Climate,โ November 9 2015. Retrieved fromย Lavoisier.com.
โFor greenhouse gases there has been a ‘selective scrutiny of evidence’ย to support Climate Change alarm. There is no evidence CO2 has determined climate in the past or that it could do so in theย futureโ
Funding
The Climate Study Group is not incorporated and does not appear to have any public record of itsย financials.
Keyย People
According to an April 2015 submission to government, the Climate Study Group’sย members are:6โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
- Tom Quirkย โ Former IPA director, director of Australian Environmentย Foundation
- Bob Officer โย Former IPAย director
- Mark Reyner โย Aย former mining company director in the aluminium industry and former chairman of National Australiaย Bank
- Richard Morgan (convenor) โย Career in agriculturalย fertilizers
- Graham Sellars-Jones โย Formerย stockbroker
- Johnย Chambers
- Andrewย Miller
Actions
November 14,ย 2018
The Climate Study Group placed an advertisement inย The Australianย entitled โGlobal Climate Reality.โ According to the ad, which cites data from John Christy and a statement fromย Richard Lindzen for support:7โGlobal Climate Realityโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group. Retrieved fromย JoNova. 8โGlobal Climate Reality,โ The Austrailian, November 14, 2018. Retreived fromย Pressreader.com.
โPolicies to reduce CO2 emissions have been based on the false premises that this CO2 which did not cause dangerous global warming prior to removal by plants, would do so when returned. In Australia, such policies have caused power costs to double, harming industry, farming, households and indeed theย Nation.
โIn fact, MIT Professor Emeritus of Meteorology, Richard Lindzen has estimated that CO2 from power stations, together with other trace greenhouse gases from transport and methane from livestock, can alone only bring about an estimated one degree Celsius increase in global temperature over the comingย century.โ
Blogger Joanne Nova cited the the graph, compiled from Christy’s data, as โdeath to climate models.โ9โClimate Models are a Joke,โย JoNova,ย November 14, 2018. Archive.foย URL:ย https://archive.fo/YuU7y
Julyย 2018
The Climate Study Group took out a half-page advertisement that appeared in The Australian newspaper.10โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
The advertisement made several claims about climate models and featured three charts that claimed to disprove the science linking increased levels of atmospheric CO2 to rising temperatures, increasing frequency of major storms and the frequency of larger tropical cyclones.11โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
The advert included a version of a discredited chart developed by Dr John Christy that purports to show how climate models had vastly overestimated global warming.12โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
Environmental scientist and Guardian blogger Dana Nuccitelli has written โas with all charts of such singular, unscientific purposes, itโs simply another example of cherry picked data being presented in a multiply misleading way.โ13Dana Nuccitelli. โRepublicans’ favorite climate chart has some serious problems,โ The Guardian, February 19, 2016. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/l7pDu
The advertisement attempted to link climate policy to rising electricity prices in Australia and also advocated the country should follow the United States and leave the Paris climate change agreement.14โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
Septemberย 2017
The Climate Study Group took out an advertisement in The Australian claiming that climate models predicting warming had โfailedโ and that adding CO2 to the atmosphere would be good for the planet. The advert also advocated for Australia to build more coal-fired power plants.15โAdvert in The Australian describes what real climate change looks like,โ JoNova, September 22, 2017. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/DnGuc
Juneย 2017
The Climate Study Group re-ran a previous advertisement in The Australian that had attempted to use Socratic questioning to disprove concerns over human-caused climate change. As reported on News.com.au, Deakin University philosophy lecturer Dr Patrick Stokes said:16Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
โThe reason that climate change denialists like Socrates is they are wedding to a brave individual exposing the corrupt elite.17Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
The problem is of course that science doesnโt work the way Socratic questioning works. The idea that you come along and lob a couple of Socratic questions and explode it all just doesnโt holdย water.โ
Mr Stokes told News.com.au there were โglaring fallaciesโ in the advertisementโs argument, and said Socrates would have been โquite affrontedโ by the ad.18Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
University of Melbourne climate scientist Dr Andrew King said the advert put forward a โnonsensical ill-founded argument.โย He said:19Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
โEssentially their argument is the CO2 was higher in the past and that the carbon is from a natural source. One obvious criticism is that the Carboniferous Period (being 300 million years ago) is a poor analog for the climate of today. It was warmer but lifeforms were also very different with nothing similar to humans. Human life is adapted to the climate we have today. If the climate was much warmer, as in the Carboniferous period, weโd be in a lot of trouble!โ20Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
Januaryย 2017
Appearing on page seven of The Australian, an advert from The Climate Study Group featured a hypothetical exchange between the philosopher Socrates and โMr Smith, a strong believer in Climate Change.โ21โA Socratic approach on climate change,โย JoNova, January 13, 2017. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/7j8JX
The group also ran the advertisement in June 2017, after which a climate scientist and a philosophy professor described the content as โnonsensicalโ and flawed. Under the heading โTime for Climate Logicโ the advertย said:
Socrates: Nice to meet you Mr Smith. I hear you are very concerned about dangerous globalย warming.
Mr Smith: Yes, we are facing an alarming prospect of a global warmingย catastrophe.
Socrates: What gives you suchย concern?
Mr Smith: Emissions of CO2 from burning fossilย fuels.
Socrates: How were these fossil fuelsย formed?
Mr Smith: Various plant forms grew, died and formed fossil fuels before and during the Carboniferousย Period.
Socrates: Was there dangerous global warming prior to the Carboniferousย Period?
Mr Smith: No. Thereโs no evidence of dangerous global warming prior to the Carboniferousย period.
Socrates: So where did the carbon in fossil fuelsย originate?
Mr Smith: Plants absorbed CO2 from the atmosphere prior to the formation of fossilย fuels.
Socrates: So the CO2 absorbed by plants is now being released from burning fossilย fuels.
Mr Smith: It must beย so.
Socrates: You have observed there was no dangerous global warming prior to CO2 being absorbed to form fossil
fuels, so how could the same CO2 now being released cause dangerous globalย warming?Mr Smith: I find the implication of your question provocative and disturbing. You should know there is a move to bring charges against you for corrupting youth with your philosophicalย questions.
Socrates: I am well aware that people are disturbed by my philosophical enquiries which reveal the truth with compelling logic and facts which refute long held beliefs. Our conversation has been noย exception.
Mr Smith: I have to goย now.
Septemberย 2016
The Climate Study Group takes out an advert in The Australian newspaper under the title: โWhat You Donโt Know About Climate.โ22โWhat You don’t Know About Climate,โ November 9 2015. Retrieved fromย Lavoisier.com.
The group repeated previous claims that evidence for human caused climate change, including retreat of polar ice and rising sea levels, was down to โselective scrutiny ofย evidence.โ
Augustย 2015
Australiaโs major industry body representing psychologists, the Australian Psychological Society (APS) said it was โdisturbedโ that the Climate Study Group had misused a number of psychological arguments in an advert that had appeared in The Australia newspaper.23Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
As reported by DeSmog, the APS said the advertโs intent was to โmislead the publicโ about climate change and the authors themselves appeared guilty of โcognitive biases.โ24Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
The advert claimed there was โno evidence CO2 has determined climate in the past or that it could do so in the futureโ and that โthe next ice age remains the real global threat.โ25Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
April 23,ย 2015
In a submission to a Department of Prime Minister and Cabined taskforce on Australiaโs emissions reduction targets, the โClimate Study Groupโ sent a report claiming that evidence backing the need to act on greenhouse gas emissions was a result of psychological and behavioural biases. The names listed as members of the Climate Study Group were the same as the members of the Fair Farming Group.26โSubmissions for Australiaโs post -2020 emissions reduction targetโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group, April 23,ย 2015.
Juneย 2014
In June 2014 the Fair farming Group group had aย paper published in the journal Agricultural Scienceย โ the journal of Ag Institute of Australia โ entitled โDoes the scientific evidence justify the carbon tax.โ27โDoes the scientific evidence justify the carbon tax?โ Agricultural Science ,ย Volume 26 Issue 1 (Junย 2014).
The paper attempted to argue there was โno compelling evidenceโ that greenhouse gas emissions could cause dangerous globalย warming.28โDoes the scientific evidence justify the carbon tax?โ Agricultural Science ,ย Volume 26 Issue 1 (Junย 2014).
The paper was a reprint of anย identical article that appeared in the November 2013 issue of the journal Energy & Environment โ a publication known as a โgo toโ journal for climate science denialists andย sceptics.
Juneย 2011
In June 2011, the โFair Farming Groupโ sent an โOpen Reportโ to Prime Minister Julia Gillard challenging a major government review on climate change science and policy. The report rejected the evidence that CO2 from burning fossil fuels could cause dangerous climate change.29โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
The reportย said:
โThere is no clear or compelling scientific evidence to support the conclusions in the Garnaut โReview of the Science of Climate Change Update 2011โ. The Review overlooks recent analysis of the climate measurements which expose the fundamental problems at the heart of the IPCC climateย models.
โMankind is simply returning CO2 to the atmosphere from whence it came. This is at a time when a low level of CO2 is limiting plant growth when more food is required for a growing world population. CO2 is essential for all plant life and thus not a pollutant. From the perspective of food production, a carbon tax or ETS would also beย inappropriate.
โScientific evidence based on past events demonstrates that the release of CO2 previously sequestered in fossil fuels will not cause dangerous global warming. Again it follows that a carbon tax or an ETS which would impose a severe cost penalty for agriculture and for the economy overall is notย required.
โScientific evidence supports the conclusion we need CO2 rather than fear it. To suggest otherwise, ignores our obligation to provide increasing food production for a growing world population and the best interests of the Australianย community.โ
According to the report, the Fair Farming Groupโs members were:30โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
- John Chambers BCom, MBA, CA, FAICD, FF
- Andrew Miller BBus
- Richard Morgan AM BSc (Ag), BCom, FAIASTย (Convenor)
- Bob Officer BAgSc, MAgEc (UNE), MBA, PhD (Chicago), FASSA, SFFin
- Mark Rayner BSc (Hons), ChemEng (UNSW), FTSE, FAusIMM, FIEA, FAICD
- Graham Sellars-Jones BCom
Dr Tom Quirk was a โconsultant to the group,โ the reportย said.
Octoberย 2010
The Fair Farming Group published an article in Energy & Environment โ a journal known for publishing papers sceptical of human-caused climateย change.
The article was an attempt to undermine the findings of a 2010 โState of the Climateโ report produced by the Australian government agencyโs the Bureau of Meteorology and the CSIRO.
The paper โ entitledย โClearing the Air on Climateโ โ was written by โJohn Chambers, Andrew Miller, Richard Morgan, Bob Officer, Mark Rayner and Tomย Quirk.โ
In February 2011, the group sent their paper to an Australian Senate inquiry into policies to put a price on greenhouse gasย emissions.
In a cover letter, group convenor Richard Morgan wrote:31โSENATE INQUIRY INTO CARBON TAX PRICING MECHANISMSโ (PDF),ย The Fair Farming Group, February 17,ย 2011.
We maintain our view no robust scientific evidence exists that human activity could have a dangerous impact on climate. Of particular concern to us, misinformation about methane trends unfairly damages the public perception of the grazing industry. Our research shows that policy makers have been misled by authorities they could reasonably have expected to be reliable. Accordingly, there is no sound scientific basis for a carbon tax or any other measure which adversely affects the economy to reduce carbon emissions. It is now time for fundamental review of thisย proposition.
Februaryย 28,ย 2010
An article appeared in the conservative magazine Quadrant, written by the โFair Farming Groupโ and claimed that the evidence that humans were causing dangerous global warming was wrong.32Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
The report included a series of questions about climate science, with answers misrepresenting the scientific literature and typical of those developed by right-wing conservative think tanks in the United States.33Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
The report concluded:34Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
Mankind is simply returning to the atmosphere carbon dioxide which has become deficient and thus limiting to plant growth at a time when more food is required for a growing world population. Carbon dioxide is essential for all plant life and thus not a pollutant. This paper provides evidence the release of carbon dioxide will not cause dangerous globalย warming.
According to the report: โThe Fair Farming Group advocates fair and reasonable treatment of Australian farmers based on sound science.ย Formed in 2009 its members have extensive agricultural experience and business and academic backgrounds.โ35Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
A footnote to the report said the directors of the Fair Farming Group were:36Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
โJohn Chambers; BCom, MBA, CA, FAICD. Andrew Miller; BBus. Richard Morgan AMBSc (Ag), BCom, FAIAST. Bob Officer; BAgSc, MAgEc (UNE), MBA, PhD (Chicago), FASSA, FSIA. Mark Rayner; BSc (Hons), ChemEng (UNSW), FTSE, FAusIMM, FIEA, FAICD. ย Consultant to the Group, Australian physicist Dr. Tom Quirk; MSc, MA, DPhil (Oxon), SMPย (Harv).โ
2009
The Fair Farming Group is formed.ย Anย archive of its website – www.fairfarminggrp.com.au –ย says:
The Fair Farming Group advocates fair and reasonable treatment of Australian Farmers based on sound science. Formed in 2009 itโs members have extensive agricultural experience and business and academicย backgrounds.
The website lists the members of the groupย as:
John Chambers; BCom, MBA, CA, FAICD. Andrew Miller; BBus. Richard Morgan AMBSc (Ag), BCom, FAIAST. Bob Officer; BAgSc, MAgEc (UNE), MBA, PhD (Chicago), FASSA, FSIA. Mark Rayner; BSc (Hons), ChemEng (UNSW), FTSE, FAusIMM, FIEA, FAICD. ย Consultant to the Group, Australian physicist, Alfred Deakin Research Institute,ย Dr. Tom Quirk; MSc, MA, DPhil (Oxon), SMPย (Harv).
Relatedย Organizations
- Institute of Public Affairs (IPA)37Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
Contact &ย Address
The Climate Study Group has provided email and cell phone contact details in a public submission to government:38โSubmissions for Australiaโs post -2020 emissions reduction targetโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group, April 23,ย 2015.
For correspondence:
P.O. Box 8127
Armadale, Vic.ย 3143Email: [email protected]
Cell: ย 0419 365ย 603
Socialย Media
The Climate Study Group does not appear to be active on socialย media.
Other Resources
Otherย Resources
- ย
Resources
- 1Homepage, The Fair Farming Group. Archived December 22, 2014. Archive.is URL:ย https://archive.fo/Zk6EX
- 2โPsychology and the New Cilmate Alarmโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group. Archived atย Desmog.
- 3Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 4Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 5โWhat You don’t Know About Climate,โ November 9 2015. Retrieved fromย Lavoisier.com.
- 6โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
- 7โGlobal Climate Realityโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group. Retrieved fromย JoNova.
- 8โGlobal Climate Reality,โ The Austrailian, November 14, 2018. Retreived fromย Pressreader.com.
- 9โClimate Models are a Joke,โย JoNova,ย November 14, 2018. Archive.foย URL:ย https://archive.fo/YuU7y
- 10โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
- 11โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
- 12โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
- 13Dana Nuccitelli. โRepublicans’ favorite climate chart has some serious problems,โ The Guardian, February 19, 2016. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/l7pDu
- 14โClimate Model Review Policy Implications (PDF), The Climate Study Group, Julyย 2018.
- 15โAdvert in The Australian describes what real climate change looks like,โ JoNova, September 22, 2017. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/DnGuc
- 16Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
- 17Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
- 18Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
- 19Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
- 20Liz Burke. โClimate deniers use Socrates to disprove global warming,โ News.com.au,ย June 9, 2017. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/Fahre
- 21โA Socratic approach on climate change,โย JoNova, January 13, 2017. Archived July 10, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/7j8JX
- 22โWhat You don’t Know About Climate,โ November 9 2015. Retrieved fromย Lavoisier.com.
- 23Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 24Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 25Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 26โSubmissions for Australiaโs post -2020 emissions reduction targetโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group, April 23,ย 2015.
- 27โDoes the scientific evidence justify the carbon tax?โ Agricultural Science ,ย Volume 26 Issue 1 (Junย 2014).
- 28โDoes the scientific evidence justify the carbon tax?โ Agricultural Science ,ย Volume 26 Issue 1 (Junย 2014).
- 29โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
- 30โOPEN REPORT TO THE PRIME MINISTERโ (PDF), The Fair Farming Group, June 21,ย 2011.
- 31โSENATE INQUIRY INTO CARBON TAX PRICING MECHANISMSโ (PDF),ย The Fair Farming Group, February 17,ย 2011.
- 32Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
- 33Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
- 34Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
- 35Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
- 36Tom Quirk. โThe case for carbon dioxide,โ Quadrant Online, February 28, 2010. Archived July 9, 2018. Archive.is URL: https://archive.fo/F0VH6
- 37Graham Readfearn. โAustralian Psychological Society ‘Disturbed’ By Climate Denialist Group’s ‘Misleading’ย Newspaper Advert,โ DeSmog, August 11,ย 2015.
- 38โSubmissions for Australiaโs post -2020 emissions reduction targetโ (PDF), The Climate Study Group, April 23,ย 2015.